Range
Similar Schools Model · multi-year anomaly screen · working example

Is this school's data moving like a stable process, or did something change?

Each school's yearly values are drawn as an XmR control chart (individual values above, year-to-year moving ranges below). Grey shadow lines show every peer school, so one school's movement is read against the variation that is normal across schools. Points outside the natural process limits are flagged. This is the same signal the alignment project's pre-registered anomaly screen uses.
How these values are calculated

The measures

Proficiency is the share of tested students meeting the state's proficiency bar, grades 3–8 combined, one value per school per year, exactly as published in the state files City Fund shared (2019 and 2022–2025; no statewide testing in 2020–21). Enrollment is the school's fall total. Demographic shares are fall enrollment shares from the two shared vintages; the income measure is free/reduced-price lunch.

Peers (the grey lines)

Every other school in the chosen state, optionally narrowed to the same grade band and sector. They answer: is this school's movement unusual, or is that just what school data does?

The X chart (top)

The green centre line is the school's own average across its years. The dashed limits are mean ± 2.66 × average year-to-year move — the standard XmR ("individuals and moving range") construction, where 2.66 converts the average move into a three-sigma band. A point outside the band is a signal that something changed (the population, the test, or the reporting), not by itself a judgment about the school.

The mR chart (bottom)

Each bar is the absolute change from the prior year; its limit is 3.267 × average move. Moves spanning the 2019→2022 pandemic gap are excluded from the averages and drawn hollow. With only four usable points per school, all limits are provisional (the method prefers ten or more) — exactly why more shared history is on the partner data-request list.

The 15-point rule

Demographic shares get the alignment project's pre-registered screen instead: any move larger than 15 percentage points is flagged for the governance committee before scores are run.

Individual values (X chart)

Moving range (mR chart): how big is each year-to-year move?

Ranges spanning the 2019→2022 pandemic gap are shown hollow and excluded from the limit calculation.

Demographic shares (two shared vintages only)

The shared files carry demographic shares for fall 2023-24 and 2024-25 only, so a control chart is not yet possible; the screen's pre-registered rule flags any move larger than 15 percentage points. More history is on the partner data-request list.
Table view (selected school)